Average Depth to Water for Cimarron Basin, 1989-99           
           Common regression line with 95% confidence intervals

Model: MODEL1
Dependent Variable: AVDTW

                           Analysis of Variance

                           Sum of         Mean
  Source          DF      Squares       Square      F Value       Prob>F

  Model            1    112.18728    112.18728       26.117       0.0006
  Error            9     38.65977      4.29553
  C Total         10    150.84705

      Root MSE       2.07257     R-square       0.7437
      Dep Mean     181.34439     Adj R-sq       0.7152
      C.V.           1.14289

                            Parameter Estimates

                    Parameter      Standard    T for H0:
   Variable  DF      Estimate         Error   Parameter=0    Prob > |T|

   INTERCEP   1    181.344389    0.62490220       290.196        0.0001
   DYEAR      1      1.009893    0.19761143         5.111        0.0006

Durbin-Watson D             2.175
(For Number of Obs.)           11
1st Order Autocorrelation  -0.258

		Summary of Regression and Projection:

                                                               Estimated
                                                                Rate of
                                     Estimated      Average     Decline
                                    Average DTW      DTW in     (1999 -
             Slope     Intercept      in 2010          1999      2010)

            1.00989     181.344        197.50        182.77      1.340