Individual Well Economics
Economics for these polymer treatments vary from well to well depending
on the pre-treatment acid volume, polymer volume, tank rental, pumping
time, rig time, post treatment oil and water production rates, disposal
costs, electrical costs, artificial lift equipment changes, etc.
Operators have indicated the cost for doing the polymer treatments are
approximately $10 to $15 per barrel for the volume of the polymer treatment.
Typical ranges are $40,000 to $55,000 for ± 4,000 bbl treatments
and $20,000 to $30,000 for ± 1,500 bbl treatments. These costs
include all expenses associated with conducting the treatment and returning
the well to production.
Payout on the treatments is also variable. Major factors
are oil production rates, oil price, lifting costs and water disposal
costs. Some of the treatments that have sustained high initial oil rates
have paid out in several weeks, where other treatments may take longer
or may never pay out based on incremental oil recovery. In most cases
wells that exhibit average performance after the treatments are paying
out in 3 to 6 months. This is based on ± 18 BOPD incremental
oil recovery for 6 months, $22/bbl oil price and $45,000 job cost (this
is based on only incremental oil recovery, water reduction savings are
not considered).
Also the methods used to evaluate the treatments affect
payout and economics. Initially in most instances, the water shut-off
treatments using gelled polymers were just that, treatments conducted
to reduce the amount of water production. Wells had become marginal
to uneconomic due the amount of water that had to be handled. Well economics
could be improved by reducing water production. Therefore, any oil recovered
at a water-oil ratio lower than prior to the treatment was considered
incremental recovery. The increased oil production rates and recovery
of additional oil reserves was considered to be a fortunate by-product.
Now operators are conducting the treatments with the expectation of
improving oil recovery and in most instances are disappointed if that
does not happen. Some operators have indicated that in their circumstances
they could not economically justify the treatments if incremental oil
recovery did not occur. Also, operators are now treating wells that
are economic, in hopes of improving economics and adding reserves. Operators
have reported adding oil reserves for $2 to $5 per barrel from polymer
treatments.
Estimate of State-Wide Economics
Based on the average from wells currently in the database, the average
size treatment volume is 2,637 barrels of polymer, the average cumulative
incremental oil recovery per well to date is 5,469 barrels (based on
oil recovery rates above pre-treatment rates), and the average cumulative
reduction in water production per well to date is 377,073 barrels. Applying
these averages to the estimated 300 wells that have been treated since
2001 equates to 791,100 bbls of polymer has been used to recover 1,640,700
of incremental oil to date (many wells are still recovering incremental
oil) and reduced water production by 113,121,900 bbls to date. Using
$15 per barrel of polymer as a treatment cost, oil reserves have been
added State-wide for $7.23 per barrel to date.
Assuming $28 per bbl for the price of oil, $15 per barrel
of polymer as a treatment cost, $10 per barrel of oil as an operating
expense, $0.05 per barrel of water as a disposal fee and the treatment
was conducted 18 months ago, the average payout is 6.1 months. Payout
using the above assumptions based on only incremental oil production
(excluding savings from reduced water production) is 7.2 months.
At $28 per barrel of oil an additional $45,939,600 has
been added to the State economy from incremental oil production since
2001.
URL: http://www.nmcpttc.org/Case_Studies/GelPolymer/individual_wells.html
Updated February 2003